If 60 percent of the world’s fish, birds, mammals, amphibians and reptiles have disappeared in the last 45 years, wouldn’t the remaining 40% also disappear in the coming 30 years? We’re not significantly changing that course of events, are we? And wouldn’t we, humans, then be part of those remaining 40%? If not: What bees do we expect pollinate our crops? Are we going to create our artificial biosphere in time for it to actually function as a stable fake-earth, a replacement habitat? Where are we getting the resources and funding for that? Who gets to go inside when wet-bulb temperatures or radiation levels become too high? We can’t shut down all our nuclear facilities in time for it not to cause extinction level dosages worldwide, can we? There’s no miracle cure for thyroid cancer, or protection of the water-column against cesium-137 and iodine-131.
How can the changes observed more recently in a three decade period be conclusive? Dr. Shakhova: For the permafrost, three decades is not a huge period of time, because the processes, the consequences of which we are studying right now and have to deal with, started long long ago. This was triggered by natural warming associated with replacement of the cold climate epoch with the warm interglacial period and followed by permafrost inundation by sea water. Scientists agree that submerged permafrost would eventually start degrading, but how soon and at what pace this degradation would occur became the major point of disagreement between them.
It was suggested by some scientists that subsea permafrost would keep its integrity for millennia, which means that in the areas submerged less than 1000 years ago (as we investigated in our study) it should not have occurred yet. Our study proved that not only has it already occurred, but it has been progressing to higher rates, which have almost doubled since this degradation started.
It is most likely that we are now dealing with the consequences of when natural warming is enhanced with anthropogenic warming and together they are accelerating the pace of natural processes. This appears to be continuing the processes of permafrost degradation at levels that we have never observed before.
The most asked question I get, from those assuming I’m better informed on this subject than them, is “So where do I move to survive all this?”. I’ve been researching this (human survival) on several separate occasions the past two decades. One crucial requirement is the lack of seismic destruction, either by tsunami or by living on top of tectonic hazardous areas. So, scratching that off the list leaves the areas that will suffer the least from a warming planet. One would assume that would be the polar regions, but that’s a big mistake. Both poles are going to suffer immensely from warmer than normal surface (and ocean) temperatures. Aside from the soil being practically dead from the fast changes in temperature, there’s not much organic life that survives ice to heat in the currently observed time-spans.
I’ll elaborate more on all this as time passes, and will update this message/article, but for now I’ll post my findings thus far, the short-cut to a valuable answer to the question without the background info;
I’d advice the Heard & McDonald islands and/or the Falkland Islands. They’ll stay coldest the longest in the future, as do the seas around them, so if you’re lucky there’s still a food-source in the oceans too. The Falklands are probably going to be flooded with migrants from Argentina by then, and for that spot I’d hint at the NE-part of the islands. But the other option, somewhere around here, is my personal best bet for longest possible human survival. Be sure to build shelter somewhere on high ground on the NW part of the island, so you’ll be safe in case the Mawson Peak volcano erupts. Be sure to bring some seeds and soil to start up some new microbial freshwater life there. It all looks dead there now, but I assure you, it will be a thriving jungle there soon enough. The only hurdle hard to overcome is radio-activity from the isotopes spread by unmanned molten down nuke plants everywhere. Perhaps in a few years we’ll have a working pill against that. One can hope and dream about surviving on other planets, but the straws to hang on to for that are getting thinner by the day. As is the world’s ice, making it harder to predict our options in the near future. As I like to often put it, there are two basic premises that overrule all others;
– What goes on in the Arctic doesn’t stay in the Arctic.
– The flywheels we’ve set in motion are not going to be easy to bring to a standstill.
Knowing there’s some states and mayors suing the Trump administration, I’m still flabbergasted at how lame and obedient everyone in trump’s surroundings seems to be. You can open your mouth, take some risk, refuse to follow orders, refuse to leave your job, just let these fools know you’re not going to join them in ruining the world like this. Ask your friend/colleague (who is probably thinking the same) to join you in that refusal. What are these men policing all this thinking anyway? That they’re protecting their offspring or families? Really, you think? Why are police officers, military personnel, marines, special forces, going down that road of being anti-intellectual dipshit robot-like slaves of destruction? For crying out loud, are they deaf or insane?
Iran has 150 *billion* barrels of (cheap) oil reserves ready to get out of the ground. 205 oil reservoirs, 92 natural gas reservoirs. Just sayin’. My guess is they’re also predicting that the longer they wait taking their oil, the hotter it gets over there. You can’t drill when it’s over 55C in the shade all year ’round.
It’s just such a waste of time and energy to have this total jackass leading the media and news all the time, with nothing but stupid (and they really *are* stupid) ideas, useless executive orders, attention-hungry lies, sensationalist propaganda, failures and non-stop face-palm material. Most annoying is the fact that we, humanity, don’t HAVE more time for messing around.
Everybody with half a brain is secretly watching it unfold. They don’t want to admit it, but something deep inside tells them they need to know what our status is, or they’ll be left behind not knowing what happened, and that’s not an option. So they sit back and watch the next episode of the new season; When *will* the oxygen levels really drop as a result of plankton depletion or are they already dropping, when will it be too hot where we live, where can we go to survive, who’s going to control, service or shutdown the 444 nuclear power facilities when they reside in areas that are no longer habitable? Let’s see what captain Paul Watson has to say about it, because he really knows his shit;
What many don’t seem to realize is that the CO2 we’re emitting is cumulative, it’s not going away anytime soon, it’s a growing blanket around the Earth, and now we’re living in a greenhouse because of that. Which is why the top three warmest Mays have all occurred in the last three years. This course of events was already known in 1896. And while all this is known, every day we keep on adding 240000 new humans to a planet that has a limited amount of resources. Something does not compute. At some point that concept will crash. And we’re beginning to see when that could be. My rough estimate, with the data available now, with the changes predicted for the way we plan to live, is that around 2028 we’ll be living in a 3.5 C warmer planet than what it was before industrial civilization started. Humans have never been alive on a planet that warm. Just sayin’
“So we are left with a stark choice: allow climate disruption to change everything about our world, or change pretty much everything about our economy to avoid that fate. But we need to be very clear: because of our decades of collective denial, no gradual, incremental options are now available to us.” (Naomi Klein)
How cruel would that be;
Humans finally figure out which genes reverse aging, verify that it works, stop aging related diseases, exploit and distribute the therapies for it, and then; Whoops, the 1 planet we need to live on (while we already needed 2 more to feed everyone) dies under our feet while we weren’t looking! With an ice-free Arctic, huge methane releases, temperature rise, sea-level rise, dying oceans, crumbling ecosystems, and finally 430 failing nuclear power facilities, we go extinct. We can leave a note on some satellite, saying:
“Sorry, would have loved to meet you one day, and we know it’s hard to understand, but even though we knew how to last forever ourselves, we couldn’t sustain our one and only habitat.”
Je koopt tegenwoordig al een prima fiets voor 40 euro. En dat zijn dan betrouwbare tweedehandsen, vaak nog opgeknapt ook. Maar nee, er was weer zo’n kloothommel die het vanochtend nodig vond om de Puch van mijn vriendin in zijn busje te tillen toen ‘ie toevallig toch al grof vuil aan het plunderen was in Amsterdam Noord op woensdag 17 februari rond 7 uur. Voor de zekerheid even de details, mocht iemand iets herkennen, laat me weten (mail aan firstname.lastname@example.org );
merk/model: Puch Elegance Plus Dames
– bruin hard lederen zadel (dus niet het witte origineel zoals op de foto!)
– groen wit zilver gekleurd en bewerkt frame
– zwart hoog stuur
– zilverkleurige fietstassen achterop
– Versnellingen: N7 Naaf shimano
Er zit (zat ws. inmiddels) een yepp zitjeshouder onder de zadelstang, te weten:
Als ik ooit iemand een fiets zie jatten moet je me echt tegenhouden! Te lui om iets anders te doen teneinde die 40 euro te verdienen. The lowest of the lowest, dat tinnef. Samen met inbrekers. Mogen ze wat mij betreft in een hol laten verrotten zonder water of brood, no mercy. De Raymond Reddington behandeling, zeg maar.